Systematic Futures Trading

MES AlgoQuantitative. Automated. Transparent.

A fully automated algorithm trading S&P 500 futures with defined risk on every position.

60
Live Trades
40%
Win Rate
-3.9R
Cumulative R
-0.07R
Avg per Trade

Live results from current system. Backed by 1841+ trade backtest. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Get in Touch

Strategy

The system trades Micro E-mini S&P 500 futures using a proprietary multi-factor model. Entries, stops, and targets are all defined by the algorithm before any trade is taken.

Fully autonomous — no discretionary input, no manual overrides. Operates during US equity futures hours with predefined risk on every position.

1

Systematic Signal

A quantitative model scores market conditions and decides when a setup meets entry criteria.

2

Automated Execution

Entries, stops, and targets are placed and managed programmatically. No human touches the trade mid-flight.

3

Volatility Adaptation

The system monitors market volatility in real time and adjusts position sizing and trade selection during elevated-risk environments.

Risk Management

Risk control is not a feature — it is the architecture. Every layer is automated and enforced programmatically.

Defined Risk

Every trade has a predefined stop-loss set at entry. Maximum risk per trade is controlled algorithmically. No trade can exceed position limits.

Drawdown Protection

Daily loss limits, consecutive loss monitoring, and a circuit breaker that halts all trading if cumulative drawdown exceeds defined thresholds.

Regime Awareness

The system monitors volatility indices and market regime in real time. During elevated-risk periods, position sizing is automatically reduced and certain trade types are disabled.

Development Timeline

Full transparency — including the early development period before the system was fully calibrated.

Early Dev

62
Trades
31%
Win Rate
-15.7R
Result

Current System

60
Trades
40%
Win Rate
-3.9R
Result

Full live track record →

Backtested Over 1841+ Trades

1841
Backtested Trades
40%
Win Rate
4.8%
Max Drawdown
+0.02R
Avg per Trade
Backtest equity curve showing steady growth over 1841+ trades

Full backtest, Jan 2021 – Apr 2026 (5-year window). Front-month MES data. Commission and slippage included. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Tracking

Live vs Backtest

How live performance compares to the 5-year backtest baseline. Side-by-side, same metrics, risk-normalized.

Live

60
Trades
40%
Win Rate
-0.07R
Avg per Trade
-3.9R
Cumulative

Backtest (5yr)

1841
Trades
40%
Win Rate
+0.02R
Avg per Trade
4.8%
Max DD
ON TRACK Live -0.07R/trade · Backtest +0.02R/trade · Gap -0.09R (0.6 SE)

Sample too small (60 trades) for a verdict. The 0.09R gap is within 0.6 standard errors — i.e. within normal sample noise at this size. Need 100+ trades for a statistically meaningful read.

Avg R-multiple is risk-normalized — directly comparable across sizing and sample size. Statistical confidence requires 100+ live trades.

Market Context

May 2026

Live market data · Updated May 31

S&P 500 at 7,580.06. VIX at 15.32 (normal). WTI crude at $87.36. System operating with standard parameters — signals evaluated systematically regardless of prevailing narrative. No prediction, only systematic response.

Market Snapshot — May 31

S&P 500 7,580.06 +0.22% today
VIX (volatility) 15.32 regime normal
WTI Crude Oil $87.36 -1.73% today
NASDAQ Composite 26,973 +0.20% today

Our Algorithm

The system runs on defined risk per trade — every entry has a stop, every exit is automated, every regime change adjusts position size. When VIX is elevated, size drops or trades pause. When structure aligns, the algorithm engages without hesitation.

Designed to survive shocks — not by predicting them, but by refusing to trade when conditions don't meet criteria. Every trade published. Every win, every loss.

Current regime: VIX 15.32 (normal). System operating with standard parameters.

Current Month

May 2026 — VIX at 15.3 (normal). 14 trades this month, 2W / 9L. System operating with standard parameters.

External data from public financial reporting. No claim of outperformance is made or implied. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

About

An independent project — two years of research, several iterations, now running as a fully automated system on S&P 500 micro futures.

Currently in live demo-account validation. Every trade is executed against real market data with the same logic, sizing, and risk parameters that will run live capital after validation. Every fill, win, and loss is logged and shown.

Track record is built in public. Live capital deployment follows the validation milestone, not the other way around.

Get in Touch

Questions about the strategy, the track record, or just curious about the methodology? Drop a note.

Or email directly: invest@mesalgosignals.com